Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.342205 3.713546 4.116111 4.586088 5.121133 5.712940 6.419334
2025-05-04 2.851964 3.358931 3.948011 4.687552 5.597395 6.688194 8.106969
2025-05-11 2.522788 3.099605 3.804824 4.739621 5.959887 7.517797 9.688260
2025-05-18 2.281023 2.898382 3.684562 4.773798 6.267067 8.277110 11.247658
2025-05-25 2.030795 2.650408 3.465633 4.636366 6.307316 8.658005 12.310267
2025-06-01 1.856280 2.480792 3.326710 4.581417 6.439151 9.161208 13.593461
2025-06-08 1.718426 2.345937 3.218493 4.551339 6.592492 9.698770 14.985435
2025-06-15 1.655753 2.309183 3.242128 4.710544 7.038734 10.724263 17.296542
2025-06-22 1.552664 2.204240 3.155324 4.690562 7.197653 11.303226 18.928677
2025-06-29 1.454482 2.098244 3.056929 4.640508 7.297807 11.788639 20.455213
2025-07-06 1.322444 1.931587 2.852920 4.402440 7.058785 11.661602 20.821156
2025-07-13 1.263441 1.872857 2.811860 4.425611 7.264545 12.335940 22.816957
2025-07-20 1.221691 1.839702 2.811038 4.519690 7.611189 13.321320 25.628179
2025-07-27 1.181325 1.805906 2.806448 4.606558 7.953920 14.343239 28.702213
2025-08-03 1.137024 1.762430 2.782073 4.655349 8.229233 15.266262 31.727060
2025-08-10 1.093572 1.717258 2.751074 4.688425 8.476106 16.160628 34.851387
2025-08-17 1.025184 1.625972 2.634575 4.553835 8.378155 16.320933 36.245758
2025-08-24 0.975643 1.563761 2.564484 4.500033 8.436113 16.820150 38.571150
2025-08-31 0.933696 1.512161 2.509680 4.470587 8.540337 17.432852 41.307412
2025-09-07 0.922297 1.513046 2.548765 4.626434 9.050431 19.034390 47.044116
2025-09-14 0.886404 1.468406 2.501715 4.606874 9.178588 19.757612 50.478421
2025-09-21 0.848915 1.418873 2.442522 4.557877 9.236159 20.317164 53.556558
2025-09-28 0.789599 1.326930 2.298807 4.324808 8.856103 19.745337 53.078794